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확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:33+00:00","scope":"tip height; 확정 거래 아님"},{"chain":"Ethereum","height":26368244,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:34+00:00","scope":"head block; ONDO Transfer는 별도 계약 로그 필요"},{"chain":"BSC","height":132341592,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:34+00:00","scope":"head block; BNB Chain 주소 귀속 별도"},{"chain":"Solana","height":466807955,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:34+00:00","scope":"finalized slot; 전체 이전 내역은 pagination 필요"},{"chain":"Hyperliquid L1","height":50692111,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:34+00:00","scope":"HyperEVM만 검사; HyperCore 거래·staking 범위 아님"},{"chain":"Sui","height":342903244,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:34+00:00","scope":"GraphQL checkpoint; 주소별 소유권 별도"},{"chain":"Tron","height":87814714,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:35+00:00","scope":"solidified block; TRX와 sTRX 수량 구분"},{"chain":"TON","height":104085882,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:36+00:00","scope":"masterchain seqno; shard 및 jetton 추적 별도"},{"chain":"XRPL","height":108190344,"status":"연결 확인","checked_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:37+00:00","scope":"validated ledger; 주소와 issuer/currency 구분"}],"unlock_calendar":{"reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","review_status":"stale","review_after_days":30,"history_from":"2025-11-08","history_to":"2026-11-07","future_from":"2026-11-08","future_to":"2027-11-08","rejected_count":0},"common_watchpoints":["발표 한도·계약·현금 납입·공개시장 매수·OTC 매수·토큰 현물출자를 분리","부채·우선주·워런트·운용 수수료를 반영한 보통주 귀속 순자산과 희석","VC·재단·대량 보유자·운용사·MM 관계는 출처가 있는 연결만 기록; 관계 자체는 조작 증거가 아님","언락·현물출자 주식의 락업 해제·재판매 등록과 실제 매각을 분리","프로토콜 사용·유료 수입·토큰 귀속은 별개; TVL·거래대금은 순유입 아님","CLARITY 입법 단계·상장사 예외·관계자 매도 제한·최종 시행규칙·실제 집행을 별도 확인"],"collected_at":"2026-11-08T06:05:33+00:00","filings_total":1891,"method_version":"2026-09-24-exploratory-v1"},"cross_monitor":{"symbol":"CROSS","name":"CROSSUSDT / ONEchain","built_at":"2026-11-08T10:13:30.212274+00:00","last_updated_at":"2026-11-08T09:20:11.504356+00:00","identity_note":"CROSS chain·coin은 ONEchain·ONE으로 변경. Binance 선물·Gate 현물 API는 CROSS, Coinone·CoinGecko는 ONE. 동일 BSC 계약을 대조했으며 Harmony ONE·Across ACX·Cros CRS와 합치지 않는다.","question":"게임·앱 유통·AI 에이전트 확대가 반복적인 토큰 수요로 연결되는가, 준비금 분배와 선물 기대가 가격을 먼저 움직이는가?","support":"유료 이용·지속 이용과 실제 수수료 소각, 게임 거래 유동성, 기업의 완료된 토큰 매입, 보조금 종료 후 사용 유지","delay":"낮은 거래소 현물 유동성, ONEUSD·USDT 결제의 대체 경로, 준비금 보상 분배, 스테이킹 해제, 기업 재무·관련자 거래 제약","falsifier":"게임·지갑 홍보 수치 증가에도 유료 사용·소각·보유 수요 정체, 보상 종료 후 활동 감소, 현물 증가 없이 OI·펀딩만 확대","supply_note":"초기 65% Growth Unlock Pool 설명을 현재 달력형 언락으로 복사하지 않는다. 2026 재단 공개안은 최대 총량의 60%를 참여 보상·5%를 생태계에 배정하고 기존 준비금에서 분배, 첫 주기 3억·블록 기반 반감, zero minting·base fee 소각을 설명한다. 실제 이행은 별도 확인한다. 총량 상한과 유통 증가를 구분한다. 현재 온체인 준비금·일간 실제 분배/소각·스테이킹 해제 대기량은 미확보.","supply_source":"https://blog.opengamefoundation.org/mainnet-2-0-upgrade-tokenomics-0491a138d622","staking_note":"2026-04-18 발표의 프로토콜 스테이킹은 해제 후 14일 대기. 게임별 무대기 스테이킹과 같은 제도로 취급하지 않는다. 사용자별 요청 시각·실제 반환은 미확보이며 임의 달력 언락일을 만들지 않는다.","gaps":["VC별 지분·토큰 동시 투자 계약, MM·국가별 마케팅 배분 계약 미확인","넥써쓰 트레저리 실제 매수일·수량·현금/OTC 구분 미확인","유료 이용자·게임별 보조금 차감 수입·반복 이용 시계열 미확보","준비금·브리지·스테이킹 주소와 ABI 대조 전 native/BSC 수량 합산 금지","Coinone은 한국 거래소 1개 표본이며 동시각 FX 미연결로 김치 프리미엄은 null","Binance 현물·OKX·Upbit·Bithumb CROSS 거래쌍은 10/1 조회에서 미확인. API 실패를 무거래로 채우지 않음"],"metrics":{"mark":{"value":0.1015,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:20:10+00:00","unit":"USDT","why":null},"oi":{"value":8212547.0,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:19:42.140000+00:00","unit":"CROSS","why":null},"funding":{"value":0.00019756,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:20:10+00:00","unit":"ratio","why":null},"krw":{"value":136.7,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:20:04.195000+00:00","unit":"KRW","why":null},"circulating":{"value":555543018.1934878,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:18:52.000Z","unit":"ONE","why":null},"total":{"value":985222889.9974294,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:18:52.000Z","unit":"ONE","why":null},"max":{"value":1000000000.0,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:18:52.000Z","unit":"ONE","why":null},"block":{"value":48654616,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:20:10+00:00","unit":"block","why":null}},"comparison_24h":{"from":"2026-11-07T10:00:00+00:00","to":"2026-11-08T10:00:00+00:00","binance_perp":{"coverage_hours":23,"turnover_usdt":null,"return_pct":null,"why":"동시간 비교에 필요한 연속 24개 확정 시간봉 미확보"},"gate_spot":{"coverage_hours":23,"turnover_usdt":null,"return_pct":null,"why":"동시간 비교에 필요한 연속 24개 확정 시간봉 미확보"}},"events":[{"id":"binance-cross-perp-20250710","occurred_on":"2025-07-10","precision":"day","title":"Binance CROSSUSDT 무기한 선물 개시","fact":"공식 공지상 10:30 UTC 개시. 선물 상장은 Binance 현물 상장 보장이 아니다.","watch":"상장 이후 현물 유동성과 선물 포지션을 별도 비교","source_url":"https://www.binance.com/en/support/announcement/detail/54c97e398f6d4390a3daefea4ec6ee68","source_published_on":"2025-07-10"},{"id":"cross-breakpoint-vote-20260418","occurred_on":"2026-04-18","precision":"day","title":"Breakpoint 거버넌스 투표 결과 공개","fact":"재단이 PoSA 전환·준비금 분배·base fee 소각 계획과 투표 결과를 발표.","watch":"계획 발표·코드 활성화·실제 분배/소각을 분리","source_url":"https://blog.opengamefoundation.org/grand-unity-governance-vote-results-are-in-d3937c3664a1","source_published_on":"2026-04-18"},{"id":"cross-breakpoint-code-20260601","occurred_on":"2026-06-01","precision":"day","title":"Breakpoint 코드상 활성화 기점","fact":"공식 클라이언트가 mainnet 활성화를 2026-06-01 03:00 UTC로 명시. 당시 운영 완료 로그 전체는 이번 조사에서 확보하지 않음.","watch":"준비금 보상과 수수료 소각의 실제 규모","source_url":"https://github.com/to-nexus/go-cross","source_published_on":null},{"id":"cross-one-rename-20260723","occurred_on":"2026-07-23","precision":"day","title":"체인·native coin 명칭을 ONE으로 변경","fact":"공식 클라이언트 README의 naming update 유효일. 거래소별 티커 적용일과는 다름.","watch":"API 티커·계약 동일성 및 거래소별 일시 중단을 대조","source_url":"https://github.com/to-nexus/go-cross","source_published_on":null}],"players":[{"name":"NEXUS 넥써쓰","role":"게임 플랫폼 개발·운영과 ONE 중심 트레저리 추진. 회사 이익과 토큰 보유자의 권리는 별개","source_url":"https://www.homepage.nexus/"},{"name":"Opengame Foundation 스위스","role":"프로토콜 거버넌스","source_url":"https://www.homepage.nexus/"},{"name":"OGF BVI","role":"스테이킹 서비스. 법인별 관할·책임을 분리","source_url":"https://www.homepage.nexus/"},{"name":"CROSS Technologies BVI","role":"ONEUSD 브리지 운영","source_url":"https://www.homepage.nexus/"},{"name":"검증자·위임자·게임 개발사·거래소","role":"보안·보상·게임 토큰 유동성과 공개시장 유통을 잇는 주체. 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규칙"}],"question_ids":[],"depends_on":null,"depends_on_hidden":false,"source_url":"https://www.bnbchain.org/en/blog/36th-bnb-burn","source_kind":"step","source_checked_on":"2026-09-28","last_check":null,"occurred_at":null,"occurred_source_url":null},{"id":"ondo-21shares-etf","rail":"token_specific","rail_label":"토큰 고유","title":"21Shares Ondo ETF 효력 발생(EFFECT)","phase":"undated","phase_label":"시기 미정","window":null,"estimated":false,"days_to_open":null,"signal":"EDGAR CIK 2061627 EFFECT·8-A12B","caution":"S-1/A 2026-02-06 이후 EFFECT 없음 · 비교 선례: Bitwise NEAR ETF(NRR) — 9/24 NYSE Arca 상장 승인·등록 효력, 첫 거래는 9/29 전후로 보도. 알트 현물 ETF가 같은 EDGAR 신호(8-A12B·EFFECT)로 열린다. NEAR 는 관찰 10종 밖이라 별도 행을 두지 않는다 — 다른 토큰으로 넓힐지는 decision_queue#etf_path_expand.","tokens":[{"symbol":"ONDO","link":"token_specific","why":"발행사 뉴스룸 관측 대상(기존)"}],"question_ids":["new-capital"],"depends_on":null,"depends_on_hidden":false,"source_url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2061627/000121390026013350/ea0275534-s1a1_21shares.htm","source_kind":"primary","source_checked_on":"2026-09-28","last_check":null,"occurred_at":null,"occurred_source_url":null},{"id":"trx-tron-inc-super-representative","rail":"token_specific","rail_label":"토큰 고유","title":"TRON Inc. 슈퍼 대표자(SR) 지위 확보","phase":"undated","phase_label":"시기 미정","window":null,"estimated":false,"days_to_open":null,"signal":"TRON Inc. 공시·TRON SR 목록","caution":"TRX는 90일 안에 날짜가 잡힌 마일스톤을 찾지 못했다. 스테이블 법(GENIUS)과의 연결은 공식 발표가 없어 넣지 않았다","tokens":[{"symbol":"TRX","link":"token_specific","why":"TRX 보유 상장사(약 7.09억 TRX)의 네트워크 운영 참여"}],"question_ids":["financing-loop"],"depends_on":null,"depends_on_hidden":false,"source_url":"https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/08/13/3344492/0/en/tron-inc-announces-plan-to-deepen-integration-with-tron-ecosystem-and-pursue-super-representative-status.html","source_kind":"primary","source_checked_on":"2026-09-28","last_check":null,"occurred_at":null,"occurred_source_url":null},{"id":"tch-tokenized-deposit-network-live","rail":"us_bank_deposit_tokens","rail_label":"미국 · 은행 예금 토큰","title":"The Clearing House 토큰화 예금 네트워크 가동(참여 기관 이용 개시)","phase":"before_window","phase_label":"예정 범위 전","window":{"from":"2027-01-01","to":"2027-06-30","precision":"quarter","label":"2027-01 → 2027-06 · 분기 범위"},"estimated":false,"days_to_open":54,"signal":"The Clearing House 보도자료 — 참여 기관 이용 개시 또는 첫 은행 간 토큰화 예금 결제","caution":"원문 창은 '2027 상반기'(두 분기). 9/24 발표: Quant 가 상호운용·오케스트레이션·거래관리 층을 맡는다. 원문에 QNT 토큰 언급이 없고 체인도 공개하지 않았다. QNT 는 관찰 10종 밖이라 토큰 연결은 두지 않는다. 같은 날 영국 7개 은행의 첫 은행 간 토큰화 파운드 예금 거래(보도)는 이 행의 선례로만 적는다.","tokens":[],"question_ids":["new-capital"],"depends_on":null,"depends_on_hidden":false,"source_url":"https://www.theclearinghouse.org/payment-systems/Articles/2026/09/The-Clearing-House-Partners-with-Quant-to-Advance-the--On-Chain-Money-Initiative","source_kind":"primary","source_checked_on":"2026-09-28","last_check":null,"occurred_at":null,"occurred_source_url":null},{"id":"cftc-fcm-tokenized-mmf-first-use","rail":"us_derivatives","rail_label":"미국 · 파생 규칙","title":"선물중개사(FCM) 고객자금의 토큰화 MMF 편입 — 첫 공개 사례","phase":"undated","phase_label":"시기 미정","window":null,"estimated":true,"days_to_open":null,"signal":"FCM·청산소·토큰화 MMF 운용사의 공개 발표(고객 분리자금을 토큰화 정부 MMF에 편입) 또는 CFTC 공시","caution":"추정 시기는 공개하지 않습니다. 단계 존재와 실제 발생을 따로 확인합니다.","tokens":[],"question_ids":["new-capital"],"depends_on":null,"depends_on_hidden":false,"source_url":"https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9303-26","source_kind":"step","source_checked_on":"2026-09-28","last_check":null,"occurred_at":null,"occurred_source_url":null}]},"question_observatory":{"version":"2026-09-24-v2","reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","review_stale":true,"questions":[{"id":"new-capital","layer":"funding","title":"기관의 참여가 새로운 매수로 이어지는가?","why":"상품의 규모보다 토큰을 실제로 추가 구매하는 자금의 경로가 중요합니다.","hypothesis":"유통망 확대가 신규 현금 유입과 반복적인 현물 매입으로 이어진다.","alternative":"기존 코인의 상품 이전·가격 재평가·차입 노출 확대가 기관 참여의 상당 부분을 설명한다.","next_check":"다음 ETF 확정 보고와 발행사 설정 자료에서 현금·현물 납입, 순유입과 실제 매입의 연결을 대조합니다.","horizon":"보고일별 관측 · 수주 단위 비교","strengthen":["상품별 현금·현물 납입과 순설정이 구분되고 실제 현물 매입이 확인됨","여러 보고 기간에서 신규 현금 유입이 반복됨"],"weaken":["상품 잔액 증가가 가격 상승이나 기존 코인 이전으로 설명됨","유통망 확대 이후에도 신규 구매 실적이 확인되지 않거나 순환매가 이어짐"],"gaps":["ETF 현금·현물 설정 구분과 시장 전체 신규 현금 매입액은 미확보","CVD는 특정 거래소의 체결 차이이며 투자자 순자금이 아님"],"tokens":["BTC","ETH"],"metrics":[{"id":"etf.btc.latest","label":"BTC ETF 최근 보고","value":-411.9,"unit":"USD mn","observed":"2026-11-06","status":"current","source":"Farside Investors","denominator":null},{"id":"etf.eth.latest","label":"ETH ETF 최근 보고","value":-93.3,"unit":"USD mn","observed":"2026-11-06","status":"current","source":"Farside Investors","denominator":null},{"id":"BTCUSDT.cvd_7d","label":"7일 현물 CVD","value":131172461.24,"unit":"USDT","observed":"2026-11-07","status":"current","source":"Binance 현물 USDT 거래쌍","denominator":null},{"id":"ETHUSDT.cvd_7d","label":"7일 현물 CVD","value":-82241543.62,"unit":"USDT","observed":"2026-11-07","status":"current","source":"Binance 현물 USDT 거래쌍","denominator":null}],"charts":["btc-etf-flow","eth-etf-flow","btc-spot-cvd","eth-spot-cvd"],"precursors":[{"id":"pipes_return","label":"자금 통로","registered":4,"measured":null,"fired":null,"date":null,"latest_date":null,"latest_measured":null,"falsifier_present":false},{"id":"sovereign_reserve","label":"정부·기업 보유","registered":3,"measured":null,"fired":null,"date":null,"latest_date":null,"latest_measured":null,"falsifier_present":false}],"research":[{"id":"us-ms-galaxy-conversion","fact":"적격 고객의 기존 코인을 Galaxy에 대여하고 AP와 현물 납입 설정을 조율하여 ETP 지분으로 상환하는 연계 기능을 발표했다.","limitation":"실제 처리액 미공개. 단순 현금 매수나 세금 면제 거래로 가정하지 않으며 대여·담보 위험이 남음.","url":"https://www.morganstanley.com/press-releases/spot-crypto-etp-shares","published_on":"2026-06-05","event_date":"2026-06-05","reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","stage":"기능 발표 · 처리 실적 미확인","review_stale":true}],"token_context":[{"symbol":"BTC","narrative":"기관·기업 자산배분이 반복적인 BTC 취득·보유로 연결되는가","support":"완료된 ETF 순설정·기업 현금 매입·후속 조달","delay":"조달비용 상승·NAV 할인·차환 제약","falsifier":"신규 조달 중단 뒤 매입 중단·보유 축소"},{"symbol":"ETH","narrative":"결제·토큰화·L2 활동과 DAT 자금이 ETH 정산·담보·예치 수요로 연결되는가","support":"유료 정산·소각·실제 매입·스테이킹 순보상","delay":"우선주 배당·수탁·예치 유동성 제약","falsifier":"생태계 성장에도 ETH 귀속 정체·발행 부담 확대"}],"events":[{"id":"bmnr-20260604-preferred-pricing","token":"ETH","title":"Bitmine 9.50% 영구우선주 350만 주 가격 조건 발표","date":"2026-06-04","stage":"계약·가격 결정","href":"/t/ETH#event-bmnr-20260604-preferred-pricing","cash_raised_usd":null,"cash_spent_usd":null,"in_kind_tokens":null},{"id":"mstr-20260309-purchase","token":"BTC","title":"Strategy 17,994 BTC 추가 취득 공시","date":"2026-03-09","stage":"완료 공시","href":"/t/BTC#event-mstr-20260309-purchase","cash_raised_usd":null,"cash_spent_usd":null,"in_kind_tokens":null}],"players":[{"role":"운용사·판매사·AP","benefit":"운용·유통·거래 수수료","check":"신규 고객 자금인지 기존 자산 이전인지"},{"role":"기존 보유자·신규 투자자","benefit":"보관·유통 접근성 또는 현금화","check":"동시에 나오는 매도 공급과 자금 출처"}],"reviews":[],"milestones_total":10,"milestones":[{"id":"scotus-anderson-intel-argument","title":"대법원 Anderson v. Intel 변론(대체자산 편입 수탁 책임)","label":"2026-10-06","phase_label":"예정 범위 경과 · 발생 미확인","href":"/milestones#m-scotus-anderson-intel-argument"},{"id":"genius-occ-final-rule","title":"OCC GENIUS 최종 규칙(법 시행용 첫 최종 규칙)","label":"2026-10 → 2026-11","phase_label":"예정 범위 안 · 발생 미확인","href":"/milestones#m-genius-occ-final-rule"},{"id":"genius-treasury-sec3-comment-close","title":"재무부 GENIUS 3조 규칙안 의견 마감","label":"2026-10-19","phase_label":"예정 범위 경과 · 발생 미확인","href":"/milestones#m-genius-treasury-sec3-comment-close"},{"id":"btc-mtgox-deadline","title":"마운트곡스 상환 기한","label":"2026-10-31","phase_label":"예정 범위 경과 · 발생 미확인","href":"/milestones#m-btc-mtgox-deadline"},{"id":"genius-fed-comment-close","title":"연준 GENIUS 제안 2건 의견 마감(관보 게재 후 60일)","label":"2026-11 → 2026-12","phase_label":"예정 범위 전","href":"/milestones#m-genius-fed-comment-close"},{"id":"ripple-trust-capital-deadline","title":"Ripple 국가신탁은행 자본 조달 기한(OCC 조건부 승인 조건)","label":"2026-12-12","phase_label":"예정 범위 전","href":"/milestones#m-ripple-trust-capital-deadline"}]},{"id":"token-capture","layer":"structure","title":"사업의 성장은 누구의 이익이 되는가?","why":"블록체인 사업의 성장과 공개 토큰의 경제적 권리는 서로 다른 관측입니다.","hypothesis":"반복적인 유료 사용이 공개 체인의 수수료·담보 수요와 토큰의 경제적 귀속을 강화한다.","alternative":"성장의 이익이 금융회사 지분·수탁·사설 인프라에 남고 공개 토큰 수요는 제한적이다.","next_check":"RWA 상품별 순설정·상환과 체인별 유료 사용을 확보하고, ONDO 등 토큰의 권리 변경을 별도로 확인합니다.","horizon":"수개월 구조 변화 · 실제 가동과 반복 실적 구분","strengthen":["보조금을 제외한 반복 사용과 체인에 실제 지급한 수수료가 확인됨","토큰의 수익·소각·담보 권리가 문서와 실행에서 함께 확인됨"],"weaken":["명목 잔액만 늘고 이용·순수수료·상환 실적이 동반되지 않음","상품·회사 매출이 늘어도 토큰 보유 필요나 경제적 권리가 연결되지 않음"],"gaps":["상품별 순설정·상환, 이용자 유지율과 보조금 차감 수익은 미확보","토큰화 국채 AUM·결제 처리액을 공개 토큰 매수액으로 환산하지 않음"],"tokens":["ETH","ONDO","SOL","HYPE","SUI","TRX","TON","XRP"],"metrics":[{"id":"tsy.total","label":"토큰화 국채 AUM","value":null,"unit":"USD","observed":null,"status":"missing","source":"RWA.xyz","denominator":null},{"id":"stable.total","label":"달러 스테이블 유통액","value":293723356209,"unit":"USD","observed":"2026-11-08T09:50:11+00:00","status":"current","source":"CoinGecko · 거래소 · DefiLlama","denominator":null},{"id":"eur.EURC","label":"EURC 유통 수량","value":464228813.972328,"unit":"토큰","observed":"2026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00","status":"current","source":"DefiLlama EUR 원수량","denominator":null},{"id":"eur.EURCV","label":"EURCV 유통 수량","value":170648300.16200003,"unit":"토큰","observed":"2026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00","status":"current","source":"DefiLlama EUR 원수량","denominator":null}],"charts":["monitor-eth","monitor-ondo","monitor-xrp"],"precursors":[{"id":"rwa_rails","label":"RWA 활용","registered":2,"measured":null,"fired":null,"date":null,"latest_date":null,"latest_measured":null,"falsifier_present":false},{"id":"door_without_law","label":"제도와 시장 접근","registered":4,"measured":null,"fired":null,"date":null,"latest_date":null,"latest_measured":null,"falsifier_present":false}],"research":[{"id":"us-buidl-equity-services","fact":"BUIDL의 Ethereum 출시, BlackRock 운용·BNY 기초자산 보관/관리·Securitize 토큰화/이전대행/판매 역할 및 BlackRock의 Securitize 전략적 투자·이사회 참여를 발표했다.","limitation":"지분 투자액·현재 지분율·각 회사 실현 이익은 미확인. BUIDL 권리와 ETH·ONDO 권리는 다름.","url":"https://investors.securitize.io/news/news-details/2024/BlackRock-Launches-Its-First-Tokenized-Fund-BUIDL-on-the-Ethereum-Network-03-20-2024/default.aspx","published_on":"2024-03-20","event_date":"2024-03-20","reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","stage":"출시·전략적 투자 발표","review_stale":true},{"id":"crossborder-kinexys-kb","fact":"KB국민은행의 BDA 수출입 결제 서비스 발표. 한국·싱가포르 지점, 초기 USD·10개국 송금 범위를 설명한다.","limitation":"요약 has launched와 본문 will launch가 혼재. 실제 개시일·KB 처리액 미확인. 수치는 KB가 아닌 글로벌 플랫폼 내부 집계이며 평균기간 미명시. 4월 대비 성장률 계산 보류.","url":"https://www.jpmorgan.com/payments/newsroom/kb-kookmin-bank-kinexys-bda","published_on":"2026-09-02","event_date":null,"reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","stage":"도입 발표 · 개시일 미확인","review_stale":true},{"id":"crossborder-kinexys-japan","fact":"3/31 미쓰비시상사 그룹 내 USD 자금관리 도입, 6/29 JPY 포함 APAC 5통화 BDA 지원 확대와 JERA Global Markets의 JPY 활용을 발표했다.","limitation":"공개 토큰 매입액·일본 투자자 순유입·개별 기업 반복 결제액은 미확인.","url":"https://www.jpmorgan.com/payments/newsroom/kinexys-apac-blockchain-deposit-accounts","published_on":"2026-06-29","event_date":null,"reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","stage":"도입·통화 확장 발표","review_stale":true}],"token_context":[{"symbol":"ETH","narrative":"결제·토큰화·L2 활동과 DAT 자금이 ETH 정산·담보·예치 수요로 연결되는가","support":"유료 정산·소각·실제 매입·스테이킹 순보상","delay":"우선주 배당·수탁·예치 유동성 제약","falsifier":"생태계 성장에도 ETH 귀속 정체·발행 부담 확대"},{"symbol":"ONDO","narrative":"토큰화 상품의 실사용·수익과 ONDO 토큰 권리가 실제로 연결되는가","support":"상품 순발행·최종 상환·유료 수입·별도 권리 승인과 집행","delay":"KYC·증권 인도·거버넌스·언락","falsifier":"상품 성장에도 ONDO 경제적 귀속 부재"},{"symbol":"SOL","narrative":"결제·온체인 자본시장 사용과 상장사 축적이 반복 수요로 전환되는가","support":"완료 결제·순수수료·현금 매입·스테이킹","delay":"락업 물량·차입비용·네트워크 장애","falsifier":"보조금·봇 거래만 증가하거나 조달과 매입이 중단"},{"symbol":"HYPE","narrative":"유료 거래 수입의 토큰 귀속과 DAT 신규 현금 수요가 지속되는가","support":"리베이트 차감 후 귀속 수입·실제 매입/소각·현금 납입","delay":"현물출자를 현금 매수로 오인·언락·운용 수수료","falsifier":"거래량 증가에도 귀속 감소·위험관리 손실·주식 할인"},{"symbol":"SUI","narrative":"사용 확대와 DAT·재단 협력이 유료 수요 및 주당 순자산으로 연결되는가","support":"수수료·실사용·현금 매입·회수 가능한 대여 원금","delay":"언락·대여 신용위험·주식 할인","falsifier":"보유량 증가가 보상·대여채권에만 의존"},{"symbol":"TRX","narrative":"스테이블 결제·에너지 수요와 DAT 축적이 TRX 경제적 수요로 연결되는가","support":"유료 결제·에너지 수입·완료 매입","delay":"스테이킹/유동화 구조·관련자 거래·규제 접근","falsifier":"내부 이동·보상 증가만 있고 외부 유료 사용 정체"},{"symbol":"TON","narrative":"유통 채널의 반복 유료 사용과 DAT·스테이킹이 토큰 수요로 연결되는가","support":"반복 유료 사용·수수료·현금 매입·순보상","delay":"플랫폼 의존·접근 규제·주식 희석","falsifier":"사용자 수 홍보만 증가·실제 수입과 매입 정체"},{"symbol":"XRP","narrative":"결제·토큰화와 상장사형 XRP 운용이 실제 XRP 수요로 연결되는가","support":"거래 종결·현금 납입·유료 사용·주당 XRP","delay":"합병 승인·상장 조건·재판매/락업","falsifier":"발표가 종결·집행으로 이어지지 않거나 상품 사용과 토큰 귀속 단절"}],"events":[],"players":[{"role":"발행사·은행·수탁사","benefit":"발행·관리·수탁·결제 수익","check":"공개 체인과 허가형 인프라 중 실제 실행 경로"},{"role":"토큰 보유자·검증자","benefit":"계약과 프로토콜이 부여한 권리","check":"사업 성장에서 토큰으로 이어지는 실제 귀속"}],"reviews":[],"milestones_total":4,"milestones":[{"id":"dtcc-tokenization-launch","title":"DTCC 토큰화 서비스 상용 출시","label":"2026-10 중","phase_label":"예정 범위 경과 · 발생 미확인","href":"/milestones#m-dtcc-tokenization-launch"},{"id":"nasdaq-23x5-start","title":"나스닥 23시간 거래 개시","label":"2026-12-06","phase_label":"예정 범위 전","href":"/milestones#m-nasdaq-23x5-start"},{"id":"nasdaq-tokenized-member-notice","title":"나스닥 토큰 증권 거래 회원 공지(개시 30일 전)","label":"시기 미정","phase_label":"시기 미정","href":"/milestones#m-nasdaq-tokenized-member-notice"},{"id":"us-tsv-first-trade","title":"첫 TSV 실거래(체인 위 미국 상장 주식)","label":"시기 미정","phase_label":"시기 미정","href":"/milestones#m-us-tsv-first-trade"}]},{"id":"financing-loop","layer":"funding","title":"추가 매입을 가능하게 하는 조건은 살아 있는가?","why":"보유량 증가뿐 아니라 다음 조달·매입·현금화가 가능한 조건을 봅니다.","hypothesis":"조달 조건과 매입 여력이 유지되어 반복적인 현금 조달·토큰 매입이 가능하다.","alternative":"프리미엄·담보 여력 축소, 현물 출자, 희석과 해제 물량이 매입 순환을 제한한다.","next_check":"다음 회사 공시에서 계약·납입·실제 매입을 분리하고, 전환·만기·락업 일정과 함께 대조합니다.","horizon":"공시·납입·해제 시점 · 수주~수개월","strengthen":["조달 발표가 현금 납입 완료와 실제 매입으로 이어짐","이자·만기·희석을 포함한 조건에서도 추가 매입 여력이 확인됨"],"weaken":["발표된 조달이 미완료되거나 매입이 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BUIDL 권리와 ETH·ONDO 권리는 다름.","url":"https://investors.securitize.io/news/news-details/2024/BlackRock-Launches-Its-First-Tokenized-Fund-BUIDL-on-the-Ethereum-Network-03-20-2024/default.aspx","published_on":"2024-03-20","event_date":"2024-03-20","reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","stage":"출시·전략적 투자 발표","review_stale":true}],"token_context":[{"symbol":"ONDO","narrative":"토큰화 상품의 실사용·수익과 ONDO 토큰 권리가 실제로 연결되는가","support":"상품 순발행·최종 상환·유료 수입·별도 권리 승인과 집행","delay":"KYC·증권 인도·거버넌스·언락","falsifier":"상품 성장에도 ONDO 경제적 귀속 부재"},{"symbol":"XRP","narrative":"결제·토큰화와 상장사형 XRP 운용이 실제 XRP 수요로 연결되는가","support":"거래 종결·현금 납입·유료 사용·주당 XRP","delay":"합병 승인·상장 조건·재판매/락업","falsifier":"발표가 종결·집행으로 이어지지 않거나 상품 사용과 토큰 귀속 단절"},{"symbol":"TRX","narrative":"스테이블 결제·에너지 수요와 DAT 축적이 TRX 경제적 수요로 연결되는가","support":"유료 결제·에너지 수입·완료 매입","delay":"스테이킹/유동화 구조·관련자 거래·규제 접근","falsifier":"내부 이동·보상 증가만 있고 외부 유료 사용 정체"},{"symbol":"SUI","narrative":"사용 확대와 DAT·재단 협력이 유료 수요 및 주당 순자산으로 연결되는가","support":"수수료·실사용·현금 매입·회수 가능한 대여 원금","delay":"언락·대여 신용위험·주식 할인","falsifier":"보유량 증가가 보상·대여채권에만 의존"},{"symbol":"HYPE","narrative":"유료 거래 수입의 토큰 귀속과 DAT 신규 현금 수요가 지속되는가","support":"리베이트 차감 후 귀속 수입·실제 매입/소각·현금 납입","delay":"현물출자를 현금 매수로 오인·언락·운용 수수료","falsifier":"거래량 증가에도 귀속 감소·위험관리 손실·주식 할인"}],"events":[],"players":[{"role":"기관·규제 주체","benefit":"지분·상품·운용·수탁 수익","check":"계약과 실제 실행에서 토큰 권리로 이어지는지"},{"role":"재단·초기 배분 보유자","benefit":"해제 뒤 유동성","check":"해제 일정과 확인된 거래소 이동"},{"role":"후속 참여자","benefit":"토큰 가격 노출과 계약상 권리","check":"보유 유지와 권리 실행"}],"reviews":[],"milestones_total":0,"milestones":[]}],"changes":[{"id":"btc-price","title":"BTC 확정 종가","from":"2026-11-06","to":"2026-11-07","before":75844.0,"after":75867.59,"value_unit":"USDT / BTC","delta":0.031103317335579028,"delta_unit":"%","status":"observed","why":null,"basis":"UTC 연속 확정 종가","caution":"현재 보관본 비교입니다. 처음 확보한 시각·과거 개정 여부를 판정하지 않으며 방문 이후 변화가 아닙니다."},{"id":"eth-price","title":"ETH 확정 종가","from":"2026-11-06","to":"2026-11-07","before":2238.67,"after":2240.24,"value_unit":"USDT / ETH","delta":0.07013092595156145,"delta_unit":"%","status":"observed","why":null,"basis":"UTC 연속 확정 종가","caution":"현재 보관본 비교입니다. 처음 확보한 시각·과거 개정 여부를 판정하지 않으며 방문 이후 변화가 아닙니다."},{"id":"btc-etf-flow","title":"BTC ETF","from":"2026-11-05","to":"2026-11-06","before":-430.2,"after":-411.9,"value_unit":"USD mn","delta":18.30000000000001,"delta_unit":"USD mn","status":"observed","why":null,"basis":"최근 확보한 두 보고일 · 연속 보고·전체 확정 보장 아님","caution":"현재 보관본 비교입니다. 처음 확보한 시각·과거 개정 여부를 판정하지 않으며 방문 이후 변화가 아닙니다."},{"id":"eth-etf-flow","title":"ETH ETF","from":"2026-11-05","to":"2026-11-06","before":-99.9,"after":-93.3,"value_unit":"USD mn","delta":6.6000000000000085,"delta_unit":"USD mn","status":"observed","why":null,"basis":"최근 확보한 두 보고일 · 연속 보고·전체 확정 보장 아님","caution":"현재 보관본 비교입니다. 처음 확보한 시각·과거 개정 여부를 판정하지 않으며 방문 이후 변화가 아닙니다."}],"milestones":[{"kind":"schedule","token":"HYPE","title":"코어 기여자 후속 베스팅 범위","date":"2025-11-29","to":null,"label":"2025-11-29 → 종료 미확정","precision":"period","status":"window_open","href":"/t/HYPE#unlock-hype-core-vesting","caution":"규칙·계획상 일정이며 실제 해제·매도 확인이 아닙니다."},{"kind":"schedule","token":"SUI","title":"SUI 월별 예상 유통량 증가","date":"2026-11-01","to":"2026-11-30","label":"2026-11","precision":"month","status":"window_open","href":"/t/SUI#unlock-sui-supply-plan","caution":"규칙·계획상 일정이며 실제 해제·매도 확인이 아닙니다."},{"kind":"schedule","token":"TON","title":"TON Strategy 계약상 월별 분할 해제","date":"2026-11-01","to":"2026-11-30","label":"2026-11","precision":"month","status":"window_open","href":"/t/TON#unlock-tonx-monthly","caution":"규칙·계획상 일정이며 실제 해제·매도 확인이 아닙니다."},{"kind":"schedule","token":"XRP","title":"Ripple 월별 에스크로 해제 규칙","date":"2026-11-01","to":"2026-11-30","label":"2026-11","precision":"month","status":"window_open","href":"/t/XRP#unlock-xrp-escrow","caution":"규칙·계획상 일정이며 실제 해제·매도 확인이 아닙니다."},{"kind":"schedule","token":"ONDO","title":"ONDO 연간 락업 해제 규칙","date":"2027-01-18","to":"2027-01-18","label":"2027-01-18","precision":"day","status":"scheduled","href":"/t/ONDO#unlock-ondo-annual","caution":"규칙·계획상 일정이며 실제 해제·매도 확인이 아닙니다."}],"schedule_review":"stale","schedule_reviewed_on":"2026-09-24","precursor_policy":{"approved":false,"integrity_ok":false,"missing_falsifiers":8,"registered_narratives":8,"window_to":"2026-10-31"},"coverage":[{"id":"tsy.total","label":"토큰화 국채 AUM","status":"missing","observed":null}],"onchain":[{"chain":"bitcoin","verified":false,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T08:47:57+00:00"},{"chain":"ethereum","verified":false,"observed_at":"2026-11-08T09:46:59+00:00"}]},"weekly_changes":{"schema_version":1,"kind":"weekly_changes","generated_at":"2026-11-08T10:13:30.212274+00:00","window_from":"2026-11-01","window_to":"2026-11-07","rules_version":"2026-09-24-cowork-v0","rules_status":"approved","approved_by":"cowork (Kay 위임 2026-10-07)","interpretation":null,"rows":[{"kind":"etf_5reported","symbol":"BTC","chart_id":"btc-etf-flow","source":"Farside Investors","sign_flip":false,"threshold_abs_musd":1000,"from":"2026-11-02","to":"2026-11-06","previous_from":"2026-10-26","previous_to":"2026-10-30","previous_sum_musd":-202.40000000000003,"latest_sum_musd":-1281.7,"basis":"series-1"},{"kind":"ondo_sink_arrivals_7d","symbol":"ONDO","from":"2026-11-01","to":"2026-11-07","amount_tokens":"6171633","source":"Etherscan ERC20 Transfer"}],"coverage_gaps":[{"kind":"onchain","chain":"bitcoin","from":"2026-11-07T10:07:29+00:00","to":"2026-11-08T10:07:29+00:00","why":"관측 공백"},{"kind":"onchain","chain":"ethereum","from":"2026-11-07T10:07:29+00:00","to":"2026-11-08T10:07:29+00:00","why":"관측 공백"},{"kind":"stable_supply","why":"동일 기준 7일 시계열 미연결"},{"kind":"tokenized_treasury_aum","why":"동일 기준 7일 시계열 미연결"},{"kind":"derivatives_oi","why":"동일 기준 7일 시계열 미연결"},{"kind":"funding_mean","why":"동일 기준 7일 시계열 미연결"}]}}
